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Module 01 of 6

AI and Science: AlphaFold

Futures WheelProvisional date

How AI is changing scientific discovery, using AlphaFold’s protein structure predictions as the case.

Draft, to be confirmed by Dr. John.

What you’ll do.

  1. Put AlphaFold’s breakthrough at the centre of a Futures Wheel.
  2. Map what follows directly from it, then what follows from those.
  3. Reach the third order, where the consequences stop being about biology.
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Scientific discovery

The method

Futures Wheel

Start with one change in the centre of a page. Ring out the things that follow directly from it, then ring out the things that follow from those. By the third ring you are usually a long way from where you started — and that is the point: most of what a breakthrough changes is never the thing it was built to change.

Futures Wheel
PositiveNegativeMixed or uncertain

The change selected

AlphaFold predicts protein structures in minutes

4 direct consequences mapped. Ask of every node: if this happens, what happens next?

Method source: Jerome C. Glenn, 1971

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